Christina Cottiero at Olusegun Obasanjo Presidential Library and Archives

Photos taken at the Olusegun Obasanjo Presidential Library and in the Presidential Archives, Abeokuta, Nigeria (2020)

RESEARCH

 

Book Project

Staying Alive: Regional Integration Organizations and Vulnerable Leaders

In my dissertation book project, I develop a theory about what motivates cooperation through regional integration organizations and how authoritarian regimes sustain regional collective action, particularly in contexts of heightened domestic instability. I examine the circumstances in which vulnerable state leaders are more likely to contribute to regional security operations and to emphasize reciprocity with neighboring leaders.  I also trace the ways in which RIOs are used to protect leaders while balancing against excessive risk-taking behavior with inducements and punishments for the sake of regional stability. 

I take a mixed methods approach to testing hypotheses drawn from the theory.  I first analyze where and when African and Middle Eastern states contribute troops for peacekeeping and other security operations.  I next examine whether leaders' prior contributions to regional security cooperation impact the likelihood that they will be targeted for pro- or anti-government military interventions.  I use a large-n qualitative design to explain how leaders' prior actions condition co-members' responses to them during security crises, examining seventeen West African crises.  Later chapters address the role of RIOs in managing African states' relationships with donor states.

To link domestic sources of political vulnerability with regional cooperation, I rely on quantitative cross-national tests of new security personnel deployment data, documents gathered from Nigerian presidential archives, and interviews with West African political elites and regional organization staff in Nigeria.

Working paper: "Protection for Hire: Authoritarian Cooperation through Regional Organizations" (Under review)

Presented at PEIO 2020, WPSA African Politics mini-conference 2020, APSA 2020, accepted for ISA 2020.

Chapters:

Rethinking Illiberal Regional Cooperation

Cooperation in the Shadow of Crisis: Regional Organizations and Coup Risk (awarded the 2021 Lawrence S. Finkelstein Award from the ISA's IO Section)

Dividends of Cooperation: Biased Military Interventions in Africa

Cases from ECOWAS

Original Datasets: 1. Troop and police deployments by African and Middle Eastern states, 1990-2018

2. African regional organization interventions in member state crises, 1990-2018

Authoritarian International Cooperation

Part of my research agenda addresses how autocratic regional intergovernmental organizations around the globe help member state leaders in their attempts to stymie liberalization.

Working Paper: "Stabilizing Authoritarian Rule: The Role of International Institutions" with Stephan Haggard (under review)

Presented at APSA 2019, ISA 2021.

In Preparation: "Authoritarian Regionalism Revisited" with Stephan Haggard

The Autocratic Regional Organizations Dataset (In development) We document the scope of cooperation through regional political and economic organizations with predominantly autocratic members from 1940 to the present.  Expansion of the dataset is currently supported by the Smith Richardson Foundation and the UC Institute on Global Conflict and Cooperation.

Authoritarian Election Monitoring Dataset (In development) We track the presence of international election monitoring groups at national elections in authoritarian RIO member states.  This project is supported by the Smith Richardson Foundation.

Other Data

Exile Destinations of Former Heads of State: I build on existing datasets to provide more information about the paths leaders take as they flee their home country into exile, including their first, second, and third destinations (as applicable), their legal status, and more.

Covid-19

"Taking the Cloth: How Religious Appeals Increase Compliance
with Covid-19 Prevention Measures"
with Claire Adida, Leonardo Falabella, Isabel Gotti, ShahBano Ijaz, Gregoire Phillips, and Michael Seese   (Under review)